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Adrian Bua-Roberts: The crisis changes nothing

Tuesday, January 27 2009

The left is naturally suspicious of globalization. This is of no great surprise considering the harsh treatment it has received at the hands of the revitalisation of classical economics over the past few decades.

In the minds of many, neoliberalism became synonymous with efficiency and growth, the only system able to deal with the demands of globalization. Even if the current crisis has now discredited l'aissez faire doctrine, the neoliberal ideologues of contemporary globalisation had largely succeeded in casting the ‘Keynesian Statism' of the Fordist era, that the left was so comfortable with, to the dustbin of history. For much of this time most leftist analyses were underpinned by a sober realism, even pessimism and concern at the state of affairs (e.g. Hobsbawm 1994).

Going back to 1996, with the fall of the Socialist bloc still fresh in the mind and despite neoliberal globalisation's acquired aura of inevitability and beneficence, Hirst and Thompson cast a refreshing defence of the nation-state. Horrified by the accommodations made to the neoliberal logic by swathes of the European social democratic parties, they reaffirmed the state's enduring potential to mediate and even direct economic processes contending that the accommodations made to neo-liberalism were founded upon an illusion that presented globalisation as an ‘objective reality', when in actual fact it is an ‘ideological category' existing only in the minds of those who are willing to believe in it.

To illustrate their argument, Hirst and Thompson pointed to the extremely high levels of trade integration prior to World War One, noting that the world then was at least as integrated as it is now without the pejorative effect upon the nation state's "ability to govern" which globalisation is deemed to have today. From this viewpoint, globalisation is not a new phenomenon but a quantitative intensification of already existing tendencies. The perceived corrosion of state sovereignty in the face of ‘intensified globalisation' becomes an illusion caused by the unprecedented popularity of neoliberal doctrine and its inherent tendency to deregulate, privatize and commodify all aspects of social and economic life.

At first sight, the current economic crisis could be taken to vindicate Hirst and Thompson's analysis. The last crisis of this scale in the 1930's teaches us that we should expect a contraction of globalism and a rise in economic nationalism. States throughout the world are becoming much more active. Right-wing parties in the opposition around the world have been wrong-footed by the crisis as their general lack of a theory on state intervention corrodes the credibility of their proposals to manage the crisis. Those in governance, on the other hand, have come to a reluctant acceptance of the need for state intervention. Even former US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson -who had been the most vehement proponent of l'aissez f'aire capitalism- found himself admitting that his economic philosophy was "fundamentally flawed" as the former Republican administration begged the American legislative chambers to approve the most "un-American" of acts - what amounted to a nationalisation of the institutions of finance.

Such events have led to expectations for the renewal of the active, progressive state in an era akin to that which grew out of the received wisdom afforded by the great depression of the 1930's. However, there are a few key differences between then and now which the left better learn if it is to propose a credible and even desirable alternative to emerge from the crisis. For most of the 20th century the accumulation of capital was largely constrained by state boundaries. In the ‘world economy' of the of European colonialism, the inter-war era and for much of the cold war, economic processes occurred within established national circuits of production, linked internationally to each other through the exchange of commodities, raw wealth and capital to support what were overwhelmingly national productive systems. The shift to a ‘global economy', enabled by developments in technology and communications, entails the transnationalisation of the productive process itself. It fragments previously national production systems and functionally integrates them into a global circuit of accumulation.

A plethora of previously nationally based industries such as automobiles and textiles and "modern" industries such as information technology, electronics and even services have been globally integrated. In the global economy distinct national economies are absorbed and cast into a global system by international production and exchange. In the inter-national economy production is overwhelmingly determined at the national level. Politically, International phenomena are caused by differences in performance of national economies. In a global economy these are caused by the different national relationships to the world market which is developing its own political regulation - thereby continually corroding the sovereignty of the nation-state. Transnational regulatory structures emerge, creating a tendency towards the effective coincidence of world market and state.

The thing to keep in mind is, as Arrighi has pointed out, when "systemic chaos increases, the demand for ‘order' - the old order, or a new order - tends to become more and more general among rulers or among subjects or among both. Whichever state (in our case the transnational state) is in a position to satisfy this system-wide demand is presented with the opportunity to become hegemonic ". After considering this, the danger of a leftist strategy derived from Hirst and Thompson's analysis becomes clear. A more active state is certainly a great thing but the world economy has integrated to such a point that a return to Keynesian national regulation is both undesirable and unlikely. This crisis may deliver a retraction of globalism in the short term, but the main point to keep in mind is that, as global capital regains confidence it will realize that global structures are needed to mediate and stabilise accumulation. The left must involve itself in the battle of ideas pushing for transnational regulation. We must keep in mind that, in the long run, this crisis will crystallize the transnational regulatory system which took embryonic form at the treaty of Versailles and has remained fragmented and incomplete up until now.

This has negative consequences for leftists and progressives around the world. For we have traditionally looked upon the nation-state to attenuate the social effects of capitalism (at least) and construct a better society. An active nation-state is needed to achieve such ends and the nation-state will remain a key locus of action, even to push for influence in the transnational system. However, if the left reverts to the comfort zone it naturally finds within statist discourse it is surrendering its chance to influence the reformation of the transnational state structures within which capital is continually entrenching its dominance.

It is of crucial importance that progressives and the left realise this. Organized labour, acting within the nation state framework, has proved structurally incapable of combating the increased transnational coordination of capital. Improvements in communication and technology have enabled capital to tap into reserve armies of poverty stricken workers around the world, pitching their governments against each other to become more "competitive" in what amounts to a regulatory race to the bottom. In the West, this has began to dissolve the myriad of rights gained through centuries of class struggles and has created a huge downward pressure of wages. Stagnating wages led to increased debt, feeding the capitalist systems' fetish for consumption, laying much of the groundwork for the present crisis.

Globalization has engendered a qualitatively new epoch which in many ways is beginning to transcend the nation state system. Global markets create a global playing field and the nation state system is structurally incapable of acting as a vehicle for Labour to compete with Capital on this scale. A global civil society is emerging in embryonic form, with the emergence of transnational social movements opposing neoliberal globalisation we have witnessed the world's first global trade union and transnational political party. Parallels can be drawn between the present and the emergence of organised labour movements with the consolidation of national capitalism in the 19th century - when labour was dwarfed by capital's dominance. During capitalism's "rosy dawn" poor education, subhuman living conditions, rampant disease and the existence of huge reserve armies of workers desperate for work thwarted labour's bargaining power.

With the consolidation of global capital and the transnationalisation of social relations the power balance has again shifted dramatically in capital's favour. The globalisation of production has enabled capital to adopt a footloose approach, creating "reserve armies" of workers in poverty-stricken nations with low worker's rights and low levels of unionisation. Nevertheless, it is pertinent to remember that oppressed workers have proved to have a dogged determination throughout the ages, winning some impressive victories against all odds; it is easy to forget that the history of the left is not full of defeats - throughout class struggles unfolding in the West throughout the 20th century, the left secured in the welfare state the pinnacle of societal development thus far.

Nevertheless, it is crucial that the left stops living in the past. Ultimately, any alternative that does not incorporate a strategy based upon the new dynamics created by a global playing field, incorporating an analysis of globalization's effects upon state sovereignty is surrendering the prospects for long term change. In exchange it attains short term gains that will be lost once the crisis is over and Capital regains confidence, shaping the emerging transnational state system in a way that suits its needs.

As long as true leftists, proposing an alternative based on social justice, democracy and equality, remain stuck to the comfort provided by the "regulatory nation-state discourse" -like Keynesian and old socialist dinosaurs emerging from the woodwork to say "I told you so"- without developing a strategy to influence the emerging transnational state structures, we will not deliver meaningful change - even if the crisis has increased the credibility of this discourse temporarily. Moreover, those in the "left", who over the years have justified perverse accommodations to neoliberal doctrine in reference to the need for "modernization" and whose respect for Keynesian economics is limited to the provision of a quick, surgical fix to return stability to the system, shall provide the only option to a bewildered electorate. The ground will remain open for these people to "modernize" the left into another version of the right, ‘the alternative' will disappear and our planet shall be left to foot the bill.

Adrian Bua-Roberts

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1 to 25 of 25
Posted by Lee  ((temporarily in USA))
on 06 February 2009, 1:59:51 PM
Frances: Yes, we are just ungrateful. The BBC told me last night that everything is now wonderful in Iraq, and yet all you hear is constant grumbling. Its just attitude, that is all it is. After all we have done for them. You hear it in Scotland too, where people seem to be acutely aware that the UK has been a satellite state of the American Empire for the last decade and longer. Go to any pub in Glasgow, and you will hear the miserable, drunken louts somplaining: "What has America ever done for us !!" Dammit, isnt domestic terrorism, the world's worst financial melt-down, our own first war-criminal Prime Minister, and McDonalds obesity enough ? There is no satisfying some people.
Posted by frances (london)
on 06 February 2009, 12:07:43 AM
Lewis has it all wrong about Empires - wonderful times - when the sun never set on the red on the map. Everyone knows that empires from the Romans to the British brought civilisation and enlightenment to grateful unenlightened peoples. Happy days.
Posted by Dugsie (North Yorshire)
on 05 February 2009, 11:58:21 PM
"Martyn,was WW2 an adverse example of globalisation?"

No, Lewis, it was an adverse example of war.


If the Germns and their allies had won and conquered the world, that would have been an example of globilisation.
Posted by Martyn Rosen 
on 05 February 2009, 10:50:12 PM
"Martyn,was WW2 an adverse example of globalisation?"

No, Lewis, it was an adverse example of war.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 05 February 2009, 7:29:42 PM
frances you must be wrong.Imperialism was a destiny to control small nations from a powerful centre.And globalisation is an altruistic diffusion
of mutual prosperity and well-being controlled by you and me.With appropriate guidance,of course!
Posted by frances (london)
on 05 February 2009, 11:36:38 AM
WW2 followed an artificial humiliating settlement to WW1. WW1 was caused by a fight over ocean going empires. So that takes you back to empires which were certainly an early phase of globalisation. Was the East India Company a global corporation.

'The East India Company was a London-based trading organization. It acted as the vehicle for British commercial and imperial expansion in Asia. For more than two centuries, until its demise in the aftermath of the Indian Mutiny (1857-59), it dominated both trade and Empire.

Today, not even the most powerful firm can compare in terms of longevity and wide-ranging economic, political and cultural influence. At one time, a tenth of the British exchequer's revenue came from customs duties on the Company's imports. Its armed forces were bigger than those of most nation states. Without it there would have been no British Empire.'

Then there was slavery which was not an inspirational example of the movement of labour.

The more it changes the more it stays the same?

Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 05 February 2009, 10:22:31 AM
Martyn,was WW2 an adverse example of globalisation?
Posted by frances (london)
on 05 February 2009, 7:59:18 AM
Thanx Martyn - I see what you mean. The possibilities of technology around communicating and travelling and all kinds of other advances are a one way process and a fact and you can't be for or against it.

You are talking about globalisation of capital and as always capital is ahead of the game and adapting fast. But there could also be globalisation of people defences against capital - probably always too little too late but possible. Then there would be globalisation of over populating the planet and running out of resources and heating it up and we might retreat to sustainable communities which would look like anti globalisation but would be an artificial defence.

Unless the globalisation of people power gets going fast to match capital I would put my money on the four horses of the apocalypse - bankers riding the first horse.
Posted by Salfordgal (London)
on 04 February 2009, 10:09:54 PM
Apologies. Last one mine again.
Posted by  
on 04 February 2009, 10:07:13 PM
"In one sense you're right, Frances. Globalisation, in its literal sense, is just a form of social evolution, and one can't be for or against it."

Can't the same be said for the Holocaust, climate change, and the Hubbert Peak; and, Martyn, it is possible to be for or against them, and in much more than one sense, as well. As a technical point, the term "globalisation" is highly variable in its meaning, and there exists a range of clear but different, positions favouring its continuation as a process at different levels, a range of equally clear positions favouring differing degrees and kinds of retrenchment from globalisation, and a host of positions in between the two, and some beyond the commonsense extremes of each.

It's a buzzword, like modernisation - all things to all ears - and its conventional, technincal-vernacular, emotive meaning appears to change rapidly, as fluidly as the state of the economy, the popularity of bankers and corporates, and the respect with which we accord New Labour politicians. So we can't only be for or against globalisation: in the nature of theings, we are highly likely to change our views on it, and perhaps more than once.
Posted by Martyn Rosen 
on 04 February 2009, 8:36:28 PM
In one sense you're right, Frances. Globalisation, in its literal sense, is just a form of social evolution, and one can't be for or against it.

But in typically sloppy style, some pressure groups have taken to use the word incorrectly as meaning the process of increasing power of corporations with an international presence, and who become more powerful than many nations. Part of that increased power comes through the devious manipulation of conflicting national laws, and the use of blackmail against nations by corporations threatening to withdraw unless ...

One can certainly be against that, in the sense that one can politically promote legislation to reign in the excesses of such companies, and can promote international government co-operation to regulate and control them.

I cannot think why anyone would be FOR this definition of globalisation.
Posted by  
on 04 February 2009, 12:58:04 PM
It depends what you define as globalisation - you certainly can disagree with the Washington consensus - privatisation, deregulation, free movement of capital (and not labour), fiscal discipline, low taxes.

I agree with you fwiw Martyn.
Posted by frances (london)
on 04 February 2009, 11:24:42 AM
I didn't know you could be pro or anti globalisation. I thought it was going to happen any way. What do anti globalisation economists think is the way forward.
Posted by Martyn Rosen 
on 04 February 2009, 11:05:18 AM
"Bhagwati the pro-globalisation economist says ultimately that globalisation has spread wealth. Thousands of Chinese and Indians have been lifted out of poverty whilst wages in the West have stagnated."

It's a bit like a tsunami spreading water - it's an unavoidable side-effect, and it happens in an entirely uncontrolled fashion and rarely to the real benefit of the spreadees.
Posted by Joe Cox 
on 02 February 2009, 3:45:29 PM
Great article Adrian, a very good analysis, not only of globalization, but also the difficulties of the left in facing up to it.

Two questions if I may;

What do you think these transnational structures will look like? Secondly, how do you think civil society based, transnational structures have any possibility of gaining influence. i.e How can they assume any power when all major decisions are made behind closed doors of the IMF or during trade rounds.

I think you have got to the nub of the issue though, fabian state socialism failed, neoliberalism failed (more drastically) but were yet to find a real alternative.

Another point to ponder. Bhagwati the pro-globalisation economist says ultimately that globalisation has spread wealth. Thousands of Chinese and Indians have been lifted out of poverty whilst wages in the West have stagnated. Is this really that unfair? (I'm playing devils advocate of course)



Posted by Politique (Doncaster)
on 31 January 2009, 11:36:29 AM
Where is the Energy Secretary during the Foreign Labour Crisis. Very poor indeed. totally agree. In Doncaster this individual has no cerdibility with hardcore labour supporters and members. Time to go. Certainly a case of turning a safe seat into uncertainty and wine into flood water. Come to Doncaster and find out for yourself. Labour is finished.
Posted by Payback 
on 31 January 2009, 1:42:30 AM
The Labour Party cabinet and the close circles that surround a frail Gordon Brown are leading Britian into a chasm of dispair and poverty. The social conditions that people of Britain are experiencing is a blend of failed policy, poor understanding of British culture and an ignorance laid bare by Ministers who not only have little life experience but are quite simply out of their depth. Take Ed Miliband for example seen as a saviour of the left, a man that Red Derek believes will change Labour's fortunes. Play hardball with this individual and he withers away, occasional throwing a speech here and there, but does absolutely nothing. Weak in the presence of confrontation. Ed Balls another bag of wind, the only person in Britain who actually believes Academies and his Education policies are working. Oh yes and there is bumbling Jon Palpable Cruddas. Voters the length and breadth of Britain are turning away from Labour in their THOUSANDS. That is reality. The conditions of Serfdom are on our doorstep. Gordon Brown has nothing left in the tank, pensions that have been bled dry, gold reserves turned to sand, sterling in decline. I have only one thing to say, this is not a Labour Party or Labour Government. It is something else. The country is heading for a Spring of Discontent. The protests on Foreign is the tip of the iceberg which will without doubt Time to go, Time to go now as you are unelectable. These individuals along with many others should be challenged and held to account by their constituents, challenged by Labour Supporters and Labour Members for their seats. Lets get some grassroot, straight down the line, no nonsence Dennis Skinners in the party, not textbook no nothing wannabes.There is otherwise only one outcome a CONSERVATIVE Government. ARE YOU LISTENING HAZEL???????
Posted by Salfordgal (London)
on 30 January 2009, 11:25:43 AM
Theory from the top, or action from the bottom? I do wonder where the refinery plants walkout fits into this analysis? One sensible adjustment to trans-national state structures which will be increasingly favoured in Old Europe will be to balance rights and responsibilities more equitably between national governments, corporations and local labour by limiting the free movement of labour across the EU during the depression (at the very least).
Posted by frances (london)
on 30 January 2009, 10:50:52 AM
I heard a news item saying it was a proposal and it made immediate sense to me. Spain and Ireland caught the housing bubble from us so they probably do all need to devalue. We'll end up poorer but it will be more comfortable on the way and get rid of all that fantasy housing equity. My daughter-in-law on the West Coast of Ireland says the Irish economy is banjaxed. There's nowhere to hide.
Posted by Lewis Parry (Elx)
on 30 January 2009, 10:14:52 AM
frances,prices in our local supermarkets are now equivalent to UK.
Given the dire economic crisis here, the "average" Spanish family
must be hurting really badly.Something's got to to burst!See Paris last night!The scheduled ITV prog on expats in Spain for tonight should be interesting.
Posted by frances (london)
on 30 January 2009, 9:03:28 AM
Good news for Lewis. Spain, Portugal and Ireland may all come out of the euro so their curencies can plummet like the pound.
Posted by Robin Ramsay (Hull)
on 28 January 2009, 2:13:45 PM
While I understand whence Mr Bua-Roberts is a-coming, it is hard to take this sort of stuff seriously. It reminds me of the arguments of those who used to argue that we should say in the EEC (as it was then) in order to work towards the united socialist states of Europe. To which I always thought: well, how long are we supposed to give it?
Here we are, in the midst of the collapse of the globalist world order and maybe even the collapse of capitalism, and the left is basically silent. Why? Because the obvious response to the globalist mess is a return to the pre-globalist, national dimension. But the left is totally unable/unwilling to deal with the N word for fear of contamination by the right. Which is both pathetic and, alas, about par for the course.
Posted by Tim Pendry (Kent & London)
on 28 January 2009, 1:26:03 PM
There seems to be a trend within the 'progressive' left to promote the idea of 'global social democracy', presumably on the basis that international institutions can be democratised and directed at social justice ends.

This is another universalist dream that is doomed to wreck on the rocks of geo-political reality, competition for scarce resources and brute human nature. It was a certain Panglossian idealism about globalisation that got us into this mess in the first place and we are seeing the advocates of global economic regulation going down the same route as the liberal internationalists did in foreign policy in the mid-1990s - and look where that led us.

I suggest an alternative strategy which you might call national social democracy creating appropriate firebreaks against the aggressive free movement of capital and labour (and in defence of energy, food and health security) but seeking to collaborate with like-minded nations to get the advantages of shared regulation, economic stability measures and innovation - and prepared to create surpluses for use in international development programmes.

You might call this the 'weak' version of the European or Atlantic project designed primarily to protect the stability and interests of the general population rather than follow some dream of global economic development and 'planetary health'. All very sweet but ultimately placing us in the hands of high authoritarian, high graft and low wage competition that will eventually gut us.

Yes, this is 'old' social democracy adapted for new times but there is nothing wrong with that if it can be made to work.

The real worry within the 'global social democracy' model is that there is an inherent tension between the social justice and democratic parts of the equation. The social justice element requires, in the real world, the effective replacement of democracy, operating at the level of the viable community, with a plebiscitary presidential politics that forces redistribution to operate at a global level against the interests of ALL British electors and ends up with a technocratic and bureaucratic system of governance of intellectual dimwits and 'experts' whose trajectory will be towards sclerosis. The only innovation from the current order of things is that the informal leadership of the World Economic Forum is to be replaced by the formal leadership of graduates of the World Social Forum. A lot of good that will do the British electorate!

The point about collaborative national social democracy is that elected democratic national leaderships have to square domestic and international realities in ways which recognise the needs of the subjects of power. Any other system PRESUMES that it can speak for the people it serves and so, by the back door, we end up with all the follies of dear old Bolshevism - malignity and tyranny unintended but present all the same.

Democracy is absolutely core to the social justice project - the sclerosis of the Labour Party, Parliament and the British State, in relation to responsiveness of demands from below, provides a direct link with the current crisis and the worsening of the conditions of the indigenous working class which is fuelling our fears of the rise of the populist Right. Let us knock this cod-internationalism on the head once and for all and get back to basics. Socialists should capture control of their own country and then collaborate with similar-minded persons who hold power in other countries of similar nature. Bolshevism and liberal internationalism have both failed - national social democracy and international partnership could restore our fortunes.
Posted by Dugsie (North Yorkshire)
on 28 January 2009, 9:19:39 AM
Very timely Adrian.The internationalisation of capital has intensified the internationalisation of labour, although not with the same freedom of movement and certainly with a major decline in the capacity of labour to maintain its power to bargain over wages and conditions of service. The reduction of monetary policy under neoliberalism to regulation by interest rates and the virtual removal of physical controls over capital movements, has made the present crisis much less amenable to correction by nation states. It is truly an international crisis, with some national variations.It is tempting to rely on national institutions to provide the most readily available defence in this situation, but capital has its international institutions and will develop more effective strategies in response to the current crisis. Labour needs to develop its international institutional structures and strategies in response, as a matter of urgency.
Posted by Robert 
on 28 January 2009, 8:41:31 AM
Lets see when this recessions lifts, I think America will pull out and return to it's self proclamied leader of the world, but will the UK regain the trust of the money men, if i had money I think I'd be looking to invest it in a country which has a bit of everything like Asia like China. The problem with the UK we are now fast becoming a country of shop workers.

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