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Obama win: a new era for centre-left politics? ask Zoe Gannon & Gavin Hayes

Wednesday, November 05 2008

obbidenweb"America's Historic Verdict" covers the front of The Guardian; "Obama's New Dawn" exclaims the Daily Mail; and The Times declare "Change has Come". Arguably this could well be the biggest political event in American history since the election of JFK and is certainly the biggest global political event since Nelson Mandela's election as South African President.

So the message is clear, these are new times, and the period of Republican power in the US is over with a Democratic Senate and a Democratic President. But this isn't just any old Democratic President - no, this is the one the rest of the world has been calling for. He is the one who against all odds mounted a phenomenal campaign inspiring people to believe in something greater than themselves. He filled stadiums with 100,000s of Americans eager to be involved in what could be the ushering in of an exciting time for America.

His campaign was dominated by the rhetoric of change - offering to draw a line under the failed national and foreign policies of the Bush era. With a truly radical manifesto he promised: high quality health care, guaranteed to every American regardless of medical history or income, lower insurance premiums for everyone, and the freedom to choose their own doctor and their own plan; a 5 year windfall tax on energy companies to give a $1000 dollar rebate to every American; to reduce America's carbon emissions 80% by 2050; to shift the tax burden to reward work and cut taxes for 95% of American families while rolling back Bush's tax giveaways to the rich; not to mention his promise to pull out of Iraq. But beyond these headline grabbers he also promised to raise the minimum wage to $9.50 an hour by 2010 and index it to inflation; end the loopholes which allow major corporations to incorporate off-shore and evade billions in taxes; and to close the Guantanamo Bay detention centre.

These are not small things he has promised, and they have the potential to be truly transformational. With strong, radical centre left policies he can rebuild America, he can make people's every day lives better and inspire people with the values of equality, liberty, democracy and solidarity. As David Lammy said at our AGM that it wasn't just the man who has inspired, but the bold ideas he represents.

In this there are lessons that can be learnt by the centre-left here in the UK, why is it that in the US - an arguably more conservative country - Barack Obama can win on such a clear mandate of taxes on energy and oil companies and of taxes on the super-rich to help those on lower and middle incomes along with all the other bold centre-left policies he stood for?

Equally however we'd like to offer a note of caution. A tough question that we must ask ourselves is that with all this expectation are we bound to be disappointed? Can the man live up to the myth that has been created? Will he be able to do all he has promised? Or will he get lost along the way? In 1997 we believed on a landslide of optimism, like we have seen in the US, that "things could only get better", and in a lot of ways they did - on a remarkably similar mandate to this one Blair introduced a minimum wage, there was a windfall tax on the privatised utilities, he increased funding in health care and introduced tax credits to equalise the tax system. But after the wave of optimism had past we were left with a government which increasingly lacked direction, which went to war in Iraq, which failed to protect our public services from the encroachment of market interests and which floated our economy on the financial markets. We know that with a Tory government things could only have been worse, but we also know that they could have been better still.

We should also not discount the role of the financial crisis in this election and its inevitable impact on the style and substance of the forthcoming Obama Presidency. Just as the crisis consolidated Obama's position as the campaign edged toward the finishing line, so the crisis offers a unique set of opportunities for Obama to fashion a new world order as President. Just as FDR did before him we hope that the Obama Presidency will similarly usher in a new political and economic consensus based on centre-left values, a new age of fairness for new times.

So on this hugely momentous day we should all have the audacity to hope that this time Obama will be different, that this is a new dawn, that change has come and that this is a historic moment. Personally we believe that he can do all of these things, passion and commitment seem to ooze out of him in a way that inspires people to be more than they are, and to believe in greater things. But only time will tell. Until then, we can only wait and hope he can be the change we wish to see in the world.

Zoe Gannon and Gavin Hayes

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1 to 14 of 14
Posted by Politique (Doncaster)
on 07 November 2008, 2:00:22 PM
Obama's win represent's a 1997 moment for democrats and Americans. New Labour has had its moment and period. Great Britain is moving very quickly towards centre right and a Conservative Government. I believe it is too late for Labour to make any kind of mark. Glenrothes a success from a Labour perspective is absolute folly. The majority has deteriorated by 50% and that is because of an economic downturn? And you call that a success. Get a grip. The British people are not as stupid as the Government would like us to think.
Compass only represents a very small percentage of views and votes within the party. Similar to Parliamentary or Mayoral candidate selections 20-25% of Labour members gets you selected as 50-55% don't bother turning up or voting. This was not the case in America.
Many within the party(MPs)are continuing to interfere with local democracies from the top down. This is wrong. The party champion opportunity for all in society but in reality only champion opportunity for some in the party. Perhaps the reason Brown sidelines Compass and takes no notice. Favouring families, friends, nepotism is rife with the political elite.

Issuing Academy contracts to sponsors with out putting them out to tender is corrupt and unfair. I call on the Education Secretary ED BALLS to explain of resign. Guardian Education 7th November 2008

It has to change or Labour will die. Bottom Up not Top Down.

Well done to Obama.
Posted by Ian Flintoff (Oxford)
on 06 November 2008, 11:16:01 AM
Please let us not keep allowing commentators to comapre the new President Elect to either John Kennedy or Bill Clinton. As far as we can see, and as far as was evident in the deep coverage of the campaign from primary to final election, the new President Elect does not seem to share the Kennedy or Clinton sense of personal magnificence, clan self-importance, self determined destiny (Obama gives the credit to the USA), or the private vanities of promiscuous self-indulgence. In other words, he MAY be what you see - through and through.
Posted by Salfordgal (London)
on 06 November 2008, 12:11:58 AM
I have a colleague who was politically active student in the 1960s in America and he said the American people have just had the election they might well have had in 1968 if Robert Kennedy had not been murdered. I spent the rest of the the afternoon and evening trying to find out as much as I could about Robert Kennedy, and he may well be right. Sad, really, that the world had to wait for 40 years.
Posted by Paul McLean (Leeds)
on 05 November 2008, 10:15:24 PM
Compass 041108 Obama
Obama is a Centre politician operating within an economy and consensus firmly on the Right. He is undoubtedly intelligent and politically articulate in a way, which after 8 years of the ‘new democrats’ and then 8years of George Bush is positively refreshing. Most adherents to the neo-liberal consensus across the globe have welcomed him to office. Gordon Brown has praised him for being what all adherents to ‘new labour’ understand as being “progressive.”

Compass and others of the neo-liberal coalition claim some Centre-Left credentials for Obama. This transposing of ‘new labour’ fears and aspirations on to Obama, is understandable enough. But it is what he is on the way to achieving in two years time; what he has achieved in four years time, that will matter. - Not least to poor Americans; to Iraqis; to Pakistanis and to Afghanis.

It is a fallacy to suggest that after some workfare related changes like the minimum wage, and other labour market flexibility measures, Britain had a Gvt which lacked direction. The continued move to the Right in Britain was not lacking in the way Compass rather lazily suggests.

The more moderate Right in America have come to the fore. Even some thoughtful neo-cons like Ableman and Powell came out in support of Obama. The cultural and religious Right, understandably anathema to European liberals, are the only parts of America’s conservative consensus that are in serious retreat.

American blacks, together with those of the white aspirational middle-class who became fearful and disillusioned by Republican policies have asserted themselves. They in the vanguard of an arguably new Centre Right politics, which most European neo-liberals would describe as ‘social democratic’ for cultural and political reasons.




Posted by Martin Jenkins. (Ellesmere Port.)
on 05 November 2008, 9:16:50 PM
As the fawning liberals do, I would like to think change is on its way. Democrats are one wing of the ruling 'Property Party' in the 'land of opportunity'.Reminds me the New Labour, Blair spectacle in 1997, so much promised, so much expected, so much disapointment.
Posted by Dystopia (Stoke on Trent)
on 05 November 2008, 8:05:05 PM
Is anyone making a book on the time till the first assassination attempt?
Posted by frances (london)
on 05 November 2008, 7:24:06 PM
On a personal note a grandson was born in to our family yesterday who is mixed race and there was no way that we could feel anything but hugely optimistic that he had been born in to a changed world with wonderful new opportunity. With all those crowds chanting - yes, we can - it was a wonderful day for a non white baby to be born.

But being forensically political I keep seeing 1997 again when a wonderful orator arrived in Downing Street after 18 years of Tory rule to adulation and cries of change. Once bitten - twice shy.

I suppose it depends if you think NewLabour was on the right lines and just lost effectiveness - what you make of this parallel. I don't see it like that. I see a progressive party that triangulated to the centre and did some good things to ameliorate an unfair society that went on galloping out of control. It isn't the same. These great opportunities should be seized for radical fundamental restructuring of society so it doesn't endlessly generate more haves and have nots.

Every time Obama says one nation, one this, one that he sounds like NewLabour heading for the centre and trying to make this unfair system acceptable. One Nation Tories with the rich man in his castle and the poor man at his gate and everyone respecting and caring about one another whatever their station in life. There's nothing like the odd genius breaking through glass ceilings and prejudice to persuade everyone that its a eair society and cover up for the lack of any real redistribution.

In the short term its better than real Tories but in the long term it colludes with the astatus quo and makes the intolerable tolerable.

But so far I have heard so little substance from Obama (except the unqualified support for Israel and the pledge to send even more troops in to the disaster that is Afghanistan) and I'll keep an open mind. After all he may be both a wonderful orator and a real serious reformer - after yesterday as everyone keeps saying - anything is possible.
Posted by Jim Dodds (Nanaimo BC Canada)
on 05 November 2008, 7:06:01 PM
Your 'centre left' would, to an old socialist, have once been considered extreme right wing.

How did this man come to be president elect?

How did a seventy-two year old man, twice a victim of melanoma, who rid himself of his first wife when she became wheel-chair bound to marry a beautiful young heiress, a man who owns eight houses while that divorced wife may need to sell her own home to pay medical bills? Did that man choose or was he awarded a lame duck vice presidential candidate in Sarah Palin? When the facts were known and after eight years of George W Bush could anybody seriously expect any Republican candidate to be re-elected, particularly the man described above?

John McCain made a great show of running his campaign on government funds. Obama had massive support from public contributions, Wall St. and multi national corporations. Enough money to pay for a massive team of professional supporters, and a pre-election half hour television commercial costing millions of dollars.

Will the American Health Service proposed by Obama be government run or handed to insurance companies as proposed by Hillary Clinton?

Will American withdrawal from Iraq include closing all military bases? Will withdrawal of American troops include the mercenaries employed by Blackwater and other private companies?

Will concentrating American angst on Afghanistan spread to other 'stans' including Pakistan?

Will the industrial military complex be curtailed?

Will there be a movement to centre left? I think not. Has the progressive move to the right and free market economy exceeded anything even Barry Goldwater ever dreamed? I believe so. Have the terms right and left been prostituted to political purpose? I am afraid they have.
Posted by Jonathon Hawkes (Fleet)
on 05 November 2008, 5:33:00 PM
What's interesting is the coming together of two different (if connected) strands of 'change'. Obama represents a different way of going about the business of politics - the things he says, the way he expresses himself, what he looks like. He connects and he resonates with, the electorate in a way very few politicians of any stripe have been able to pull off. The challenge to the old politics will be 'change or die', as the electorate will become ever more demanding of their politicians to speak a language they understand.

If you couple this with the complete upturn of the relationship between Market and State that has been seen over the last few weeks, I think we can begin to see a real shift in the political dynamic. Much has been made of the lack of detail behind some of Obamas' rhetoric - maybe a fair criticism - however, I would argue that it is possible to draw together broad ideals from Obama that speak in terms of redressing the balance - a feeling that the political and economic traffic has been flowing in just one direction. The plan to introduce a tax cut for low and middle earners, funded by an increase at the top end is demonstrative of this feeling and exactly the sort of policy that Gordon Brown should be delivering.

Despite the predictable and desperate attempts by David Cameron to ride on Obama's coatails, only the Centre Left can deliver on this kind of narrative. Sadly, I think we are a few years away from engaging the electorate with these ideas in the same fashion as Obama, however, I DO think we have started the process. If Obama shows us anything, it's that there are no limits to what can be achieved.
Posted by jonny (mexico)
on 05 November 2008, 5:22:20 PM
The United States does not elect kings. It elects Presidents. Obama cannot just sweep his hand and his will be done. He has an fantastic opportunity to restaff all the Federal agencies with competent people rather than corporate representatives, but that is just one branch of government out of three, and Obama will need to persuade and work with the others. The GOP will be looking back to 1994 to see how they can get back control of Congress. Newt Gingrich will be busy making speeches to the GOP faithful in the coming year. So, Obama needs to make sure he has broad based support before his begins to propose transformative legislation. But he has a great start with the organisation and inspiration behind this massive win. Who would have thought he would come close to wining Montana, North Carolina. He has created an earthquake under the GOP map.

Obama's greatest power is his example and his mandate, and I suspect he will pursue a strategy of calm, and a governing philosophy of "Romantic Realism". He has called again and again for greater responsibility, not just from government, but from citizens, neighbours, parents.

Let's see how the transition goes from the Bush folks who now have to turn everything over to the incoming Democrats. A frenetic 77-day period from the presidential election to Inauguration Day. Some Presidential transitions go badly. On 9/11, President Bush had only 30 percent of his national security appointees in place, and that was eight months after the inauguration, and ten months after the 2000 election. By constrast Reagan and his staff executed a very efficient transition. Within a month of Reagan's inauguration, Mr. Reagan and his budget director, David A. Stockman, sent Congress a hugely detailed program of proposals which lay the basis for the "Reagan Revolution"; increased defence spending, budget cuts, tax cuts - a philosophy of government that lasted until, well, perhaps yesterday.
Posted by Handinglove (Leicester)
on 05 November 2008, 5:22:17 PM
If Barack wants to mark real change from his predecessors in the Whitehouse I will reiterate a simple yet effective message from the great Liza Minelli: "Don't Drop Bombs!"
Posted by MichaelC (London)
on 05 November 2008, 4:35:21 PM
Personally, I'm with Gramsci "pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will".
Posted by Robert (Swansea)
on 05 November 2008, 4:07:05 PM
I will wait, when Blair came to power I was shouting his praise which lasted about six months. Now I'd not vote Labour if Obama took over for the simple reason I'm sick and tired of spin lies and bull shit, and most politicians are masters of it.

Lets hope Obama can bring the things he has said to life , but something tells me in four years time we will have people saying as we did for Labour and Thatcher whats the difference.
Posted by Russell Kenwood (Brighton)
on 05 November 2008, 3:43:08 PM
I feel better already...my heart feels a little lighter....

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